Predictions Ahead of the First 12-Team College Football Playoff Rankings

The first College Football Playoff rankings will be revealed Tuesday night (7 p.m. ET), and once again I’ll be using my projections model to try to predict how the selection committee will rank the teams each week.

I’ve studied metrics that have been valued by the committee in the past, and after some guess and check, I found a formula that tested well compared to the actual rankings. There are some caveats, the biggest being that this is the first year of the 12-team Playoff and I’m using data from the four-team era. Will the criteria change? We will find out.

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Also, the members of the committee change from year to

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