Here’s the thing about rookie quarterbacks who have amazing seasons: Those first years don’t automatically translate to great careers.
The 10 rookie quarterbacks in pro football history with at least 300 passing attempts in their first seasons who have the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt (a better indicator of quarterback performance than passer rating)… well, it’s an interesting list of both short-term and long-term stars.
Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan, and Russell Wilson all went on to long-term success. Baker Mayfield and Jameis Winston did not, though Mayfield is having a very nice Renaissance with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Gardner MInshew II is barely a backup
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