Of the 24% of respondents who have made up their minds whom to vote for, Ferguson has an insignificant two-point lead over Reichert (12% to 10%). When those who say they “could” vote for those candidates are included, Ferguson’s lead is 37% to 31% – still not statistically significant. They are followed by Mullet (23%) and Bird (17%).
Two other poll findings suggest we are in for a highly partisan campaign.
First, before we asked about the candidates, we asked voters what factors they consider important in deciding whom to support. The question was open-ended, meaning respondents could say whatever they wanted; we then coded the answers into categories. The
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