OpenAI CEO Sam Altman expects AGI, or artificial general intelligence—AI that outperforms humans at most tasks—around 2027 or 2028. Elon Musk’s prediction is either 2025 or 2026, and he has claimed that he was “losing sleep over the threat of AI danger.” Such predictions are wrong. As the limitations of current AI become increasingly clear, most AI researchers have come to the view that simply building bigger and more powerful chatbots won’t lead to AGI.
However, in 2025, AI will still pose a massive risk: not from artificial superintelligence, but from human misuse.
These might be unintentional misuses, such
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